Now that primary season had started, we are in deep in the election cycle of 2016. After the Iowa Caucus on February 1st, many candidates and supporters were eager to see how those results, and efforts taken after those results, would change the tide in New Hampshire.
In 2012, Mitt Romeny won the GOP race in New Hampshire wit 39.4% of the vote, followed by 2016-dropout Rand Paul’s father Ron Paul at 22.8%. In 2008, Hillary Clinton won the Democratic race in New Hampshire with 39.09%, just below a three-percent lead over eventual nominee Barack Obama.
Going into New Hampshire this year, Clinton was leading Sanders by a narrow margin, mirroring what we saw in the Iowa Caucus, where Clinton just barely scraped a win, which Sanders is still disputing wasn’t fair. On the Republican side, Trump was polling at 31% nationally prior to the NH primary, with Iowa-winner Cruz at 22% and the third-place finished in Iowa, Rubio, at 19%. Though he was the winner in Iowa, Ted Cruz was polling at only 7% in New Hampshire shortly before the race, down significantly from his national polling. New Hampshire is known to be a volatile polling location, with many voters unsure of their selection until the moment they cast their ballots thanks to the intense campaigning that occurs in the state up until election night.
Early projections, just after the polls closed at 8PM in New Hampshire, had Trump and Sanders winning their respective races, a surprise to no one. Reports had Clinton calling Sanders to concede defeat shortly after 9PM, EST. Many people were surprised at just how far ahead Sanders pulled, coming in with around 20 points more than Clinton.
On the Democrat side, Hillary took second place with nearly 40%
The race for second and third on the Republican side was a close race, with Kasich, Rubio, Cruz, and Bush all eyeing the two spots. As the results rolled in, it looked like Ohio Governor John Kasich was going to take second place behind Trump.
With 92% of precincts reporting at 9AM, here are your results from Iowa.
Sanders at 60%
Hillary at just under 40%
Trump at 35 %
Kasich at just under 16%,
Cruz at 11.5 %,
Bush at 11.1%
Rubio at 10.6%
The remaining candidates (Christie, Fiorina, Carson and Gilmore) came in under 8% each. Paul, Huckabee, and Santorum, who have all suspended their presidential campaigns, still did better in New Hampshire than Jim Gilmore.
On to South Carolina!