We’re only in the midterms, but 2020 talk is already taking up so much airtime. During the Kavanaugh confirmation hearings, we heard a lot of chatter about “2020 auditions” by certain senators who will remain anonymous at this time.  Every time a politician signs a book deal, people wonder if that means they’re running. Polls are already being conducted to see who Democrats favor in 2020, and here are the early results from CNN.

There are a lot of names on that list, and surely not ALL of them will run in 2020, but let’s take a look at some major indicators that someone might actually be running in 2020.

1) They’ve suddenly got an opinion about every single issue

Oh, a California Democrat now cares about a particular issue affecting Ohio? What a coincidence! Is a potential candidate suddenly talking about abortion, when nothing to do with it has been mentioned in months? They’re running. If they’re on CNN talking about the aftermath of a hurricane that didn’t even affect their side of the continent, they’re running. Stay tuned to who is talking about what, and who just won’t stop talking, and you’ll be tuned it to who you might see on the ballot in 2020.

2) They’ve got a policy book or memoir coming out 

Book deals are far more telling than people will ever admit. Political book deals are nothing new, but if they are putting out a book in 2019, you might want to watch their potential candidacy. To compare this to past years, the GOP primary candidates that put out a book in the first sixth months of 2015 include Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Rick Santorum, you get the gist. On the Democratic side? Not as much publication, but they all knew who was getting the nomination anyway. In 2020, it’s a better competition. For the record, Kamala Harris’ book comes out in January 2019.

3) When asked about 2020 they say they’re “thinking” or “mulling things over”

Code words are key. “I’m thinking about it.” “I’ll take another look at it after the midterms.” “If I feel so called upon” Those are all code for “Yes, I want to run for president but I can’t seem to eager right now or Trump will chew me up and spit me out.” Well, aside from Michael Avenatti, who will do that to himself.

4) They’re traveling to key primary states like Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina

Travel schedules are telling, especially in the lead-up to election years. We all know the story about what happens when you don’t go to Wisconsin, but what happens if you start campaigning in Iowa before the midterms? Well, you just might be running. These don’t even have to be official campaign events though, simply hosting a “town hall” in a state like New Hampshire when they’re from Texas or California is indicator enough.

Aryssa D
FFL Cabinet Member